Moicano vs Nolan: 5 Bold Keys to Win a Brutal Fight

Halloween night brings a lightweight test to Las Vegas. Moicano vs Nolan headlines UFC Fight Night 292 on Saturday, October 31, at the Meta APEX, and it could reshape the 155-pound rankings. Here is our full Moicano vs Nolan preview and prediction.

Moicano vs Nolan: The Matchup

Renato Moicano (21-7-1) is a veteran built on submissions. He comes off a rear-naked choke win over Chris Duncan in April, which moved him up the UFC’s all-time choke list. Tom Nolan (11-1), nicknamed “Big Train,” is an Australian on a five-fight winning streak. This is his biggest test, and it comes in a five-round main event.

Moicano vs Nolan Odds

This is a close fight on the boards. Nolan is a slight favorite, with listings ranging from about -115 to -130, and Moicano sits near +108. SportsLine’s picks show how tight the market is. Odds move, so check them closer to fight night. For help reading lines, use How to Bet on UFC.

5 Keys to Moicano vs Nolan

1. Where the fight takes place. If Moicano turns it into a grappling match, he is dangerous. If Nolan keeps it standing, he has the edge.
2. Early pace. Nolan wants to win with volume. Moicano needs to slow the exchanges and make them messy.
3. Takedowns and scrambles. Moicano’s best chances come in the scrambles. Nolan must defend takedowns and avoid giving up his back.
4. Five-round cardio. Experience helps Moicano, but Nolan’s winning streak suggests he is fresh and confident.
5. The submission threat. Moicano has finished fights from bad positions before. Nolan cannot relax even when he is ahead.

Our Moicano vs Nolan Prediction

The fight comes down to the grappling. If Nolan avoids long scrambles, he should outwork Moicano over 25 minutes. We lean Nolan by decision, with Moicano’s submission threat keeping this close to a toss-up. Our partner’s UFC betting predictions cover the next few big cards as well.

The Rest of the Card

The card has 13 fights. Notable bouts include Randy Brown vs Jacobe Smith, Yana Santos vs Luana Santos, Ode’ Osbourne vs Cody Durden, Zachary Reese vs Mickey Gall, and Lucia Szabová vs Tainara Lisboa.

How to Watch Moicano vs Nolan

The card streams on Paramount+. Listings show the main card in the evening in Eastern time, with Moicano vs Nolan closing the night. Check your local listing, as times differ by source. In India, the main card falls in the early hours of Sunday, November 1. See UFC Fight Night 292 on UFCalendar for times in your time zone, and our partner’s UFC next fight guide for India timing.

What Comes After Moicano vs Nolan

The UFC returns to a big stage on November 14 with UFC 334. Read our UFC 335 fight card and UFC 334 preview and our Mike Malott knockout recap for another Fight Night story. For fighter news, follow MMA Fighting.